Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Mazia da Costa M. A.
17'
17'
Adriel
19'
19'
Oliveira K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz RS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Cruz RS carry the better recent record into this one.
- Santa Cruz RS are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Santa Cruz RS have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Santa Cruz RS, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 68%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Cruz RS | Gramadense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 15 | 15 |
| Losses | 4 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:1
Jun 17, 2026 Copa FGF
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
2:2
May 13, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Santa Cruz RS
1:2
Jul 16, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Gramadense
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Cruz RS Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazia da Costa M. A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Adriel
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Gramadense Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kerlly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Cruz RS 77 / 100
Gramadense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Cruz RS Gramadense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Cruz RS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz RS scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Gramadense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: Santa Cruz RS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Cruz RS VS Gramadense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Cruz RS
(Home) 27 Sept
SC Gaucho
0 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2 Apafut
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1 Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 0 Santa Cruz RS
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1 Lajeadense
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2 Apafut
13 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1 Lajeadense
10 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
1 : 0 GE Bage
02 Sept
Santa Cruz RS
0 : 0 Pelotas
16 Aug
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 1 Gramadense
Page 1 of 3
Gramadense
(Away) 27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1 Gramadense
23 Sept
Gramadense
1 : 1 Pelotas
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1 Gramadense
16 Sept
Gramadense
0 : 0 Brasil de Farroupilha
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1 Gramadense
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
GE Gloria
1 : 1 Gramadense
19 Sept
GE Bage
1 : 1 Gramadense
12 Sept
Esportivo Bento Goncalves
3 : 1 Gramadense
09 Sept
Passo Fundo
2 : 0 Gramadense
01 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0 Gramadense
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gramadense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz RS | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Monsoon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Brasil de Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brasil de Pelotas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 2 | GE Bage | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarany de Bage | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Farroupilha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)
