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Santa Cruz RS vs Real SC

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Patrickao
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 2025 game between Santa Cruz RS and Real SC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz RS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz RS
6%
Draws
4%
Real SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz RS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz RS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz RS's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Santa Cruz RS Clean Sheet 20%
Real SC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz RS Real SC
Matches Played 29 24
Wins 6 5
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Gaucho 2
Santa Cruz RS vs Real SC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz RS 85 / 100
Real SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz RS Real SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz RS scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Real SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz RS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Real SC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz RS VS Real SC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aimore1494116:531
2Inter Santa Maria1485116:729
3Passo Fundo1476120:1227
4Novo Hamburgo1473417:824
5Gramadense1466213:924
6Veranopolis1465317:923
7GE Bage145639:521
8Lajeadense1456313:1421
9Santa Cruz RS1446412:1118
10Brasil de Farroupilha1443715:2015
11GE Gloria142758:1313
12Esportivo Bento Goncalves1432912:2111
13Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol141766:1610
14SC Gaucho1423915:209
15Real SC1403114:233
16Futvida00000:00