Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz SE vs Desportiva Aracaju

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Santa Cruz SE and Desportiva Aracaju finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportiva Aracaju.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Cruz SE
39%
Draws
31%
Desportiva Aracaju
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportiva Aracaju carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Cruz SE Clean Sheet 16%
Desportiva Aracaju Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz SE Desportiva Aracaju
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.20 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2024 Sergipano 2
Desportiva Aracaju vs Santa Cruz SE
3:1
Sep 8, 2024 Sergipano 2
Santa Cruz SE vs Desportiva Aracaju
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz SE 30 / 100
Desportiva Aracaju 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz SE Desportiva Aracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz SE scored in 75% of their last 16 outings.

Away concern: Desportiva Aracaju has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Desportiva Aracaju conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz SE VS Desportiva Aracaju
0.6 Goals Scored 1.75
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 75%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz SE

(Home)
19 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 0
Santa Cruz SE
16 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Estanciano EC
11 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
1 : 2
Forca Jovem Aquidaba
05 Oct
Aracaju FC
0 : 2
Santa Cruz SE
02 Oct
Santa Cruz SE
0 : 1
Propria
Page 1 of 4

Desportiva Aracaju

(Away)
14 Feb
Falcon
2 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
11 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
1 : 3
Lagarto
08 Feb
Guarany SE
2 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
04 Feb
Desportiva Aracaju
0 : 2
Sergipe
31 Jan
America de Propria
0 : 0
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SE870113:121
2Atletico Central860217:718
3Aracaju FC850314:1015
4CS Maruinense81165:134
5Socorro80171:191
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportiva Aracaju871016:422
2Barra SE861119:419
3Santa Cruz SE830512:159
4Cotinguiba81167:144
5Socorrense81161:184
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America de Pedrinhas860220:918
2Independente SE834112:1113
3Riachao833211:712
4Amadense831415:1810
5AD Boquinhense80265:182
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Frei Paulistano861121:319
2Boca Junior851214:816
3Estanciano EC831411:1210
4Sete de Junho82156:157
5Botafogo ASF81253:175
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarany SE861123:619
2Caninde851214:1016
3Forca Jovem Aquidaba840416:1012
4Propria823311:149
5Coritiba SE80176:301
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)