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Santa Cruz U20 vs Sport Recife U20

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dieguinho
49'
Wallace Vasconcelos de Carvalho W.
65' Event
Vitor Neves

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano U20 2024 game between Santa Cruz U20 and Sport Recife U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sport Recife U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santa Cruz U20
28%
Draws
50%
Sport Recife U20
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sport Recife U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sport Recife U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sport Recife U20 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Sport Recife U20 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 10%
Over 4.5 Goals 5%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santa Cruz U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Sport Recife U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz U20 Sport Recife U20
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.40 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Pernambucano U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:0
Jul 28, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Santa Cruz U20 vs Sport Recife U20
0:3
Jul 22, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
2:1
Jul 9, 2024 Pernambucano U20
Sport Recife U20 vs Santa Cruz U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.4

Sport Recife U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieguinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vitor Neves
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz U20 23 / 100
Sport Recife U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz U20 Sport Recife U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz U20 scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Sport Recife U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz U20 VS Sport Recife U20
0.8 Goals Scored 1.38
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.38
80% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 75%
20% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Sport Recife U205
Santa Cruz U201
Retro U202
Nautico U200
Final
Sport Recife U202
Retro U201