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Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Ledezma J.
45' Event
Pungo F.
46' Event
Ledezma J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Cruz and AD Sarchi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
57%
AD Sarchi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Sarchi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Sarchi come out ahead of Santa Cruz on wins alone.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 14%
AD Sarchi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz AD Sarchi
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 6 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.22 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
4:0
Mar 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
2:0
Feb 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
AD Sarchi vs Santa Cruz
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs AD Sarchi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledezma J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pungo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

AD Sarchi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 39 / 100
AD Sarchi 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz AD Sarchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Sarchi has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Santa Cruz scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: AD Sarchi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS AD Sarchi
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
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AD Sarchi

(Away)
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
19 Sept
Cofutpa
1 : 2
AD Sarchi
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
06 Sept
AD Sarchi
2 : 1
AD Rosario
30 Aug
Grecia
1 : 0
AD Sarchi
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)