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Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz host ADR Jicaral in the Liga de Ascenso. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. ADR Jicaral have shipped 0.74 goals a game lately, while Santa Cruz have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.22. Head-to-head, Santa Cruz have won 0 to ADR Jicaral's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.75, favoring ADR Jicaral. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Santa Cruz
20%
Draws
63%
ADR Jicaral
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADR Jicaral

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • ADR Jicaral carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans ADR Jicaral's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 12%
ADR Jicaral Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 6 19
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.22 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Jan 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs ADR Jicaral
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
ADR Jicaral vs Santa Cruz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 19 / 100
ADR Jicaral 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz ADR Jicaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADR Jicaral Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: ADR Jicaral conceded in 56% of 34 recent games.

Santa Cruz has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS ADR Jicaral
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

ADR Jicaral

(Away)
04 Oct
ADR Jicaral
3 : 1
Cofutpa
27 Sept
AD Sarchi
0 : 1
ADR Jicaral
20 Sept
ADR Jicaral
1 : 1
AD Rosario
13 Sept
Grecia
1 : 1
ADR Jicaral
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)