Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Dep. Upala

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso Estadio de Piedades, Santa Ana
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ballesteros P.
16' Event
Recio D.
44' Event
Diaz R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Dep. Upala
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Dep. Upala.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Upala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Dep. Upala
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 6 2
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Santa Cruz
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Dep. Upala
3:3
Nov 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Dep. Upala
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Dep. Upala vs Santa Cruz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rosales J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Dep. Upala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesteros P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recio D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 95 / 100
Dep. Upala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Dep. Upala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dep. Upala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Away concern: Dep. Upala has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Dep. Upala
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Apr
Escorpiones
4 : 1
Santa Cruz
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Escorpiones
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
26 Mar
Santa Cruz
2 : 0
AD Sarchi
22 Mar
Quepos Cambute
2 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Upala

(Away)
12 Apr
Dep. Upala
0 : 3
ADR Jicaral
29 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
21 Mar
AD Sarchi
3 : 1
Dep. Upala
15 Mar
Dep. Upala
1 : 2
Quepos Cambute
12 Mar
Inter San Carlos
1 : 0
Dep. Upala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ADR Jicaral1493225:1230
2Inter San Carlos1484225:1428
3Quepos Cambute1491430:2128
4Santa Cruz1445519:1717
5Grecia1445516:1817
6AD Sarchi1445519:2317
7Cofutpa1424814:2710
8Dep. Upala1405915:315
9Municipal Turrialba00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Escorpiones14102233:1032
2CS Uruguay1472525:2023
3Pitbulls1464420:1622
4Consultants Desamparados1454519:1919
5Cariari Pococi1436519:2315
6Aserri1428415:2814
7Santa Ana1333719:2812
8Carmelita1325610:1611
9Limon Black Star00000:00
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Clausura - Play Offs)