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Santa Cruz vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Matheus Vinicius
23'
Jhonata Santos
27'
Lucas Siqueira

AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2024 game between Santa Cruz and Flamengo Arcoverde finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
4%
Flamengo Arcoverde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Santa Cruz haven't matched Flamengo Arcoverde's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2024 Pernambucano
Santa Cruz vs Flamengo Arcoverde
1:0
Jan 24, 2019 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Mar 1, 2018 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Santa Cruz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Diogo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Flamengo Arcoverde Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 95 / 100
Flamengo Arcoverde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Flamengo Arcoverde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Flamengo Arcoverde conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo Arcoverde

(Away)
24 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 4
Retro
18 Feb
Maguary
6 : 2
Flamengo Arcoverde
08 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
2 : 3
Afogados da Ingazeira
02 Feb
Flamengo Arcoverde
0 : 3
Sport Recife
28 Jan
Petrolina
1 : 1
Flamengo Arcoverde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife970216:721
2Retro962116:320
3Nautico962112:420
4Santa Cruz961216:719
5Central SC933314:1512
6Afogados da Ingazeira931513:2110
7Maguary924312:1010
8Petrolina92439:1010
9CA Porto91089:233
10Flamengo Arcoverde90188:251
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pernambucano 2024 (Play Offs)