Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel, Recife
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Renato
61'
Sub
Eliandro In: Cedric
Out: Eliandro
61'
Sub
Rafinha In: Rafa Marcos
Out: Rafinha

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Santa Cruz and Floresta EC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Santa Cruz
35%
Draws
20%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Cruz come out ahead of Floresta EC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Floresta EC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
1:1
Oct 20, 2021 Copa do Nordeste
Santa Cruz vs Floresta EC
3:4
Aug 7, 2021 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Renato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Floresta EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 68 / 100
Floresta EC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Floresta EC let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Floresta EC
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)