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Santa Cruz vs Maranhao Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel, Recife
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Match Events

8'
Vitinho
22'
Everaldo
34' Event
Felipe Cruz

AI Match Summary

Maranhao in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maranhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Santa Cruz
30%
Draws
33%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maranhao haven't matched Santa Cruz's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Maranhao
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Maranhao
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D
Santa Cruz vs Maranhao
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D
Maranhao vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Mar 19, 1980 Serie A Betano
Santa Cruz vs Maranhao
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Cruz
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 32 / 100
Maranhao 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Maranhao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Maranhao
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Maranhao

(Away)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)