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Santa Cruz vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio José do Rego Maciel, Recife
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz host Maranhao in the Serie C. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Santa Cruz have averaged 1.38 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Maranhao's 0.38 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 0.51) back Santa Cruz to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santa Cruz
28%
Draws
22%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maranhao haven't matched Santa Cruz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Maranhao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Serie D
Santa Cruz vs Maranhao
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D
Maranhao vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Mar 19, 1980 Serie A Betano
Santa Cruz vs Maranhao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 49 / 100
Maranhao 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Maranhao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maranhao conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Santa Cruz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Maranhao
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
25 Jul
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Figueirense
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
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Maranhao

(Away)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)