Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Nacional PB

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Sat, Dec 21, 2024
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz host Nacional PB in the Club Friendly 2024. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Santa Cruz at 0.25 goals for, 1 against; Nacional PB at 1.5 for, 1 against. Past meetings favor Santa Cruz slightly — 0-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 21, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Santa Cruz. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Santa Cruz
22%
Draws
18%
Nacional PB
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Nacional PB.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
Nacional PB Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Nacional PB
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2024 Club Friendly
Santa Cruz vs Nacional PB
0:0
Jul 1, 2023 Serie D
Santa Cruz vs Nacional PB
2:2
May 28, 2023 Serie D
Nacional PB vs Santa Cruz
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 58 / 100
Nacional PB 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Nacional PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nacional PB has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Cruz scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Nacional PB
0.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2
Santa Cruz
04 Jul
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Ituano
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
20 Jun
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Ypiranga FC
14 Jun
Brusque
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
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Nacional PB

(Away)
22 Feb
Treze PB
1 : 2
Nacional PB
12 Feb
Nacional PB
1 : 1
Sousa
09 Feb
Serra Branca
2 : 2
Nacional PB
05 Feb
Nacional PB
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
01 Feb
Atletico Cajazeirense
1 : 0
Nacional PB
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