Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosi

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional 2024 Estadio Real Santa Cruz, Santa Cruz
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Prost M.
12'
Suarez R.
13' Event
Guerra S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Nacional Potosi in this Division Profesional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nacional Potosi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Cruz
6%
Draws
90%
Nacional Potosi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nacional Potosi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nacional Potosi lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • Nacional Potosi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Profesional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 22%
Nacional Potosi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Nacional Potosi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2024 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosi
2:4
May 18, 2024 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Division Profesional
Nacional Potosi vs Santa Cruz
6:0
May 19, 2023 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosi
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 Division Profesional
Santa Cruz vs Nacional Potosi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nacional Potosi Compare

Top Goalscorer Prost M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 10 / 100
Nacional Potosi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Nacional Potosi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nacional Potosi conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nacional Potosi
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
20 Dec
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2 : 3
Santa Cruz
18 Dec
Santa Cruz
1 : 5
Tomayapo
14 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 2
Santa Cruz
11 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Blooming
07 Dec
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

Nacional Potosi

(Away)
20 Jul
Nacional Potosi
1 : 4
Real Oruro
12 Jul
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
10 Jul
Nacional Potosi
2 : 0
Aurora
17 May
Guabira
2 : 1
Nacional Potosi
14 May
Bolivar
1 : 1
Nacional Potosi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolivar30207376:2567
2The Strongest30186662:3460
3GV San Jose301461062:4048
4Aurora301212649:4048
5Always Ready301371048:3746
6Nacional Potosi301371052:4746
7Blooming301361136:4345
8Jorge Wilstermann301111835:3044
9Tomayapo301341341:4143
10Independiente30991248:5836
11Oriente Petrolero301051544:5835
12Club Universitario de Vinto30971436:4734
13San Antonio Bulo Bulo30871540:5831
14Guabira30861636:5330
15Royal Pari30781530:4629
16Santa Cruz30642030:6822
Promotion - Division Profesional 2024 (Super final)