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Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Aleman J.
88'
89'

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between Santa Cruz and Quepos FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Quepos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
64%
Quepos FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Quepos FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Quepos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Quepos FC taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Quepos FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 10%
Quepos FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Quepos FC
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 6 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
0:2
Aug 2, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs Santa Cruz
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Quepos FC vs Santa Cruz
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Cruz vs Quepos FC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Quepos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleman J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Montano L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 18 / 100
Quepos FC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Quepos FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Quepos FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Cruz's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Quepos FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Cruz remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Quepos FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
04 Oct
Grecia
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Cofutpa
3 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
13 Sept
Santa Cruz
4 : 0
AD Sarchi
30 Aug
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
AD Rosario
Page 1 of 6

Quepos FC

(Away)
03 Oct
AD Rosario
1 : 0
Quepos FC
27 Sept
Quepos FC
1 : 0
Grecia
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
0 : 2
Quepos FC
06 Sept
ADR Jicaral
2 : 0
Quepos FC
30 Aug
Quepos FC
3 : 0
Cofutpa
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)