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Santa Cruz vs Santomera

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Munoz I.
79' Event
Martinez D.

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santa Cruz
15%
Draws
51%
Santomera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Cruz lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
  • Win probability leans Santa Cruz's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 20%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Santomera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Santomera
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Santa Cruz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 36 / 100
Santomera 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Santomera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santomera conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Santa Cruz scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Santa Cruz stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Santomera
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
02 May
Santa Cruz
1 : 2
Real Murcia B
26 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 0
Santa Cruz
18 Apr
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Minerva
12 Apr
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Santomera

(Away)
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3
Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1
Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron CF 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)