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Santa Fe SP vs Tupa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Santa Fe SP Logo

Santa Fe SP

1 - 3
FT
Tupa Logo

Tupa

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mateus
53' Event
Candida N.
86'
Felipe T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Santa Fe SP and Tupa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tupa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Santa Fe SP
15%
Draws
42%
Tupa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Fe SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe SP haven't matched Tupa's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santa Fe SP Clean Sheet 12%
Tupa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe SP Tupa
Matches Played 10 33
Wins 2 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Tupa vs Santa Fe SP
1:2
May 15, 2026 Paulista B
Santa Fe SP vs Tupa
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Tupa Compare

Top Goalscorer Candida N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader David Lazari
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe SP 30 / 100
Tupa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe SP Tupa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Santa Fe SP scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

Tupa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Difficult form: Tupa registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe SP VS Tupa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe SP

(Home)
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
12 Jun
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3
America SP
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
29 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

Tupa

(Away)
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0
Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2
Independente SP
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
06 Jun
America SP
3 : 1
Tupa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)