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Santa Fe vs Bubali

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe in this Division di Honor 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santa Fe
35%
Draws
15%
Bubali
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Bubali have won more games recently than Santa Fe.
  • Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Bubali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Fe, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 10%
Bubali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Bubali
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 9 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.95 2.34
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Bubali
2:1
Sep 23, 2023 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Santa Fe
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 74 / 100
Bubali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Bubali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bubali conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Santa Fe scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bubali
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
15 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bubali
05 May
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Jong Aruba
29 Apr
La Fama
8 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Apr
Santa Fe
5 : 0
Real Koyari
15 Apr
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Sport Boys
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Bubali

(Away)
23 May
Bubali
1 : 1
Racing Club Aruba
16 May
Britannia
3 : 0
Bubali
09 May
Bubali
0 : 4
SV Dakota
03 May
Bubali
1 : 1
La Fama
26 Apr
Sporting
2 : 2
Bubali
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Unistars 3
Jong Aruba 2
Santa Fe 2
Bubali 1