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Santa Fe vs Caravel

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor 2023/2024 game between Santa Fe and Caravel finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
23%
Caravel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caravel come out ahead of Santa Fe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division di Honor 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Santa Fe here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 15%
Caravel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Caravel
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.95 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.48 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Division di Honor
Caravel vs Santa Fe
1:2
Feb 19, 2024 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Caravel
6:2
Nov 19, 2022 Division di Honor
Santa Fe vs Caravel
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 57 / 100
Caravel 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Caravel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caravel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Santa Fe scored in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Solid form: Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravel
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
15 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Bubali
05 May
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Jong Aruba
29 Apr
La Fama
8 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Apr
Santa Fe
5 : 0
Real Koyari
15 Apr
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 5

Caravel

(Away)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
24 May
FC San Nicolaas
2 : 2
Caravel
20 May
Caravel
4 : 1
Estudiantes
14 May
Real Koyari
1 : 0
Caravel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United FC 10 8 0 2 37:15 24
2 Unistars 10 8 0 2 35:14 24
3 Bubali 10 6 0 4 22:7 18
4 Caiquetio 10 5 0 5 20:19 15
5 CDRA 10 3 0 7 14:22 9
6 Atl. Deportivo 10 0 0 10 6:57 0
Relegation - Division di Honor 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Fama 10 10 0 0 65:6 30
2 Santa Fe 10 6 1 3 29:19 19
3 Jong Aruba 10 5 1 4 18:23 16
4 Caravel 10 3 0 7 14:32 9
5 Sport Boys 10 2 1 7 14:32 7
6 Real Koyari 10 2 1 7 8:36 7
Relegation - Division di Honor 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)