Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Fe vs CD Baza

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010
Santa Fe Logo

Santa Fe

0 - 1
FT
CD Baza Logo

CD Baza

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Baza in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Baza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Fe
30%
Draws
39%
CD Baza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Baza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe average 1.1 goals a game right now, well clear of CD Baza's 0.81.
  • Model gives Santa Fe a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
CD Baza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe CD Baza
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.1 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs CD Baza
0:1
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Santa Fe
0:0
Mar 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Santa Fe vs CD Baza
3:1
Nov 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Baza vs Santa Fe
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 42 / 100
CD Baza 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe CD Baza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Baza has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Baza
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
09 May
Santa Fe
2 : 4
Velez
02 May
Almeria B
3 : 3
Santa Fe
18 Apr
Huetor Tajar
0 : 2
Santa Fe
11 Apr
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Loja
04 Apr
Ciudad de Vicar
2 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

CD Baza

(Away)
15 May
CD Baza
3 : 2
CD Alhaurino
08 May
El Palo
2 : 1
CD Baza
01 May
CD Baza
0 : 0
Mancha
23 Apr
Adra
0 : 3
CD Baza
17 Apr
CD Baza
2 : 0
Marbella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mancha 36 20 8 8 53:26 68
2 Motril 36 18 12 6 54:24 66
3 El Palo 36 19 6 11 59:44 63
4 Almeria B 36 17 10 9 62:37 61
5 CD Ronda 36 17 9 10 64:51 60
6 Malaga B 36 16 11 9 56:44 59
7 Comarca 36 17 6 13 52:34 57
8 Ciudad de Vicar 36 13 14 9 52:48 53
9 Loja 36 13 10 13 42:40 49
10 Antequera 36 11 14 11 43:38 47
11 Velez 36 14 5 17 50:52 47
12 CD Alhaurino 36 12 9 15 53:54 45
13 Adra 36 12 9 15 47:59 45
14 Santa Fe 36 11 8 17 40:55 41
15 UD Carboneras 36 10 8 18 43:63 38
16 Huetor Tajar 36 11 5 20 44:67 38
17 CD Baza 36 9 10 17 36:54 37
18 Arenas Armilla 36 9 8 19 33:63 35
19 Ejido 2 19 7 3 9 21:22 24
20 Vera CD 19 1 7 11 17:46 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)