Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Jaguares de Cordoba in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santa Fe at 1.55 goals for, 0.79 against; Jaguares de Cordoba at 0.93 for, 1.76 against. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 2 to Jaguares de Cordoba's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.13) back Santa Fe to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Santa Fe
30%
Draws
12%
Jaguares de Cordoba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Fe come out ahead of Jaguares de Cordoba on wins alone.
  • Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguares de Cordoba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Jaguares de Cordoba
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.55 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
3:1
Nov 15, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba
3:0
Apr 28, 2024 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
1:0
Jul 20, 2023 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Jaguares de Cordoba
1:0
Jan 27, 2023 Primera A
Jaguares de Cordoba vs Santa Fe
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 67 / 100
Jaguares de Cordoba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Jaguares de Cordoba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaguares de Cordoba has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Santa Fe's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Santa Fe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Jaguares de Cordoba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

Jaguares de Cordoba

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguilas Doradas
2 : 0
Jaguares de Cordoba
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
2 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Sept
Junior
3 : 3
Jaguares de Cordoba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)