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Santa Green vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Santa Green Logo

Santa Green

1 - 2
FT
Morupule Logo

Morupule

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Santa Green and Morupule finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morupule.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Santa Green
20%
Draws
51%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Morupule

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Morupule carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Morupule a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Green Clean Sheet 14%
Morupule Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Green Morupule
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Santa Green vs Morupule
1:2
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Morupule vs Santa Green
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Green 10 / 100
Morupule 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Green Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morupule Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Green scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Morupule conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Santa Green remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Green VS Morupule
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Green

(Home)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Tafic FC
5 : 0
Santa Green
05 May
Santa Green
1 : 0
Orapa United
24 Apr
Matebele
1 : 1
Santa Green
11 Apr
Santa Green
0 : 1
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

Morupule

(Away)
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
06 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Morupule
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)