Sport Picks
Santa Lucia vs Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala
Liga Nacional 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
Santa Lucia play Deportivo Achuapa in the Liga Nacional 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Lucia averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Deportivo Achuapa averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Lucia won 3, Deportivo Achuapa won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2023 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Santa Lucia and 1.05 for Deportivo Achuapa. This points to a Deportivo Achuapa double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Santa Lucia picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Achuapa.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.05 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Lucia | Deportivo Achuapa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.41 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Lucia Compare
Deportivo Achuapa Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Lucia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Deportivo Achuapa let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Santa Lucia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Deportivo Achuapa lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comunicaciones | 22 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 37:16 | 45 |
| 2 | Municipal | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 44:21 | 43 |
| 3 | Xelaju | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 31:9 | 43 |
| 4 | Xinabajul | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 27:29 | 31 |
| 5 | Guastatoya | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28:22 | 29 |
| 6 | Deportivo Mixco | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 23:24 | 29 |
| 7 | Antigua | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 33:37 | 29 |
| 8 | Deportivo Achuapa | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 24:44 | 26 |
| 9 | Coban Imperial | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 10 | Iztapa | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 30:49 | 20 |
| 11 | Malacateco | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 24:33 | 19 |
| 12 | Santa Lucia | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 14:30 | 19 |