Sport Picks

Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023

Santa Lucia

2 - 1

Guastatoya

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Ortiz A.

18'

Valenzuela J.

24'

Hernandez

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santa Lucia in this Liga Nacional 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Lucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Santa Lucia

Draws

90%

Guastatoya

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Guastatoya have won more games recently than Santa Lucia.
Win probability leans Guastatoya's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Liga Nacional 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 20%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%

Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 23%

Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Lucia	Guastatoya
Matches Played	30	39
Wins	6	14
Draws	6	11
Losses	18	14
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Liga Nacional

Santa Lucia vs Guastatoya

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Feb 22, 2023 Liga Nacional

Guastatoya vs Santa Lucia

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Oct 30, 2022 Liga Nacional

Santa Lucia vs Guastatoya

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Aug 21, 2022 Liga Nacional

Guastatoya vs Santa Lucia

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Apr 3, 2022 Liga Nacional

Guastatoya vs Santa Lucia

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Icute M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Delgadillo Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Guastatoya Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Lucia 10 / 100

Guastatoya 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Lucia Guastatoya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guastatoya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Guastatoya's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Santa Lucia scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guastatoya

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 1.25

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comunicaciones	22	12	9	1	37:16	45
2	Municipal	22	13	4	5	44:21	43
3	Xelaju	22	12	7	3	31:9	43
4	Xinabajul	22	8	7	7	27:29	31
5	Guastatoya	22	7	8	7	28:22	29
6	Deportivo Mixco	22	7	8	7	23:24	29
7	Antigua	22	8	5	9	33:37	29
8	Deportivo Achuapa	22	7	5	10	24:44	26
9	Coban Imperial	22	6	7	9	16:17	25
10	Iztapa	22	5	5	12	30:49	20
11	Malacateco	22	4	7	11	24:33	19
12	Santa Lucia	22	5	4	13	14:30	19