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Santa Lucia vs Metropolitan FA Prediction & H2H Stats

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Maroni M.
15' Event
Osorio J.
Assist: Sequen M.
45' Event
de L. B.
Assist: Acuna I.

AI Match Summary

Santa Lucia in this CONCACAF League 2021 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Santa Lucia
15%
Draws
59%
Metropolitan FA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metropolitan FA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Metropolitan FA at 1.67 per game, Santa Lucia at 0.75.
  • Metropolitan FA are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Lucia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 10%
Metropolitan FA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Lucia Metropolitan FA
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 0
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.75 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2021 CONCACAF League
Metropolitan FA vs Santa Lucia
1:2
Aug 4, 2021 CONCACAF League
Santa Lucia vs Metropolitan FA
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Lucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Osorio J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de L. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Metropolitan FA Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Lucia 18 / 100
Metropolitan FA 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Lucia Metropolitan FA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metropolitan FA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Santa Lucia found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Metropolitan FA's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 15 matches.

Solid form: Santa Lucia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Lucia VS Metropolitan FA
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Lucia

(Home)
07 May
Santa Lucia
0 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
30 Apr
Iztapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
26 Apr
Santa Lucia
0 : 4
Municipal
23 Apr
Deportivo Achuapa
1 : 0
Santa Lucia
19 Apr
Santa Lucia
2 : 1
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

Metropolitan FA

(Away)
31 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1
Delfines Del Este
28 Jul
Helenites
1 : 2
Metropolitan FA
26 Jul
Metropolitan FA
4 : 0
North Leeward
30 Jul
Metropolitan FA
0 : 1
Atletico Pantoja
27 Jul
Metropolitan FA
2 : 0
SWA Sharks
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Verdes 1
Santos De Guapiles 6
TBD -
Plaza Amador -
Forge FC 5
FAS 3
TBD -
Independiente -
Diriangen 1
Marathon 3
TBD -
Esteli -
Samaritaine -
Union Deportivo Universitario -
TBD -
Motagua -
Inter Moengotapoe -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimpia -
Guastatoya -
TBD -
TBD -
Alajuelense -
Santa Lucia 5
Metropolitan FA 1
TBD -
Saprissa -
Comunicaciones 4
11 Deportivo 1
TBD -
Alianza FC -
1/8-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Plaza Amador 0
Forge FC 2
Independiente 0
Marathon 3
Esteli 2
Union Deportivo Universitario 2
Motagua 3
Inter Moengotapoe 0
Olimpia 6
Guastatoya 3
Alajuelense 3
Santa Lucia 2
Saprissa 6
Comunicaciones 3
Alianza FC 1
Quarter-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Forge FC 4
Marathon 0
Motagua 4
TBD -
Guastatoya -
Saprissa 5
Comunicaciones 5
Semi-finals
Forge FC 2
Motagua 2
Guastatoya 1
Comunicaciones 3
Final
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 6