Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Lucia vs Municipal

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Acuna I.
16' Event
Mendez J.
24'
Sub
Amaya W. In: Crisanto Garcia S. I.
Out: Amaya W.

AI Match Summary

Santa Lucia host Municipal in the Liga Nacional 2022/2023. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Santa Lucia have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Municipal's 1.13 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Municipal slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2023, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 1.11, favoring Municipal. Municipal in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Santa Lucia
6%
Draws
90%
Municipal
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Municipal has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santa Lucia.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Municipal.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Nacional 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Santa Lucia Clean Sheet 21%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Lucia Municipal
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 6 26
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Municipal
0:4
Jan 28, 2023 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Santa Lucia
2:0
Nov 23, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Santa Lucia
2:0
Sep 11, 2022 Liga Nacional
Santa Lucia vs Municipal
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Santa Lucia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Lucia Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Acuna I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mendez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Lucia 10 / 100
Municipal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Lucia Municipal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Lucia scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Municipal let in goals in 53% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Santa Lucia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Municipal lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Municipal
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comunicaciones22129137:1645
2Municipal22134544:2143
3Xelaju22127331:943
4Xinabajul2287727:2931
5Guastatoya2278728:2229
6Deportivo Mixco2278723:2429
7Antigua2285933:3729
8Deportivo Achuapa22751024:4426
9Coban Imperial2267916:1725
10Iztapa22551230:4920
11Malacateco22471124:3319
12Santa Lucia22541314:3019