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Santa Maria Cilento vs Rotonda Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Cardore A.
70' Event
Cajazzo I.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Santa Maria Cilento and Rotonda finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rotonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Maria Cilento
20%
Draws
40%
Rotonda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Maria Cilento haven't matched Rotonda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rotonda's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Santa Maria Cilento Clean Sheet 16%
Rotonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria Cilento Rotonda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Santa Maria Cilento vs Rotonda
0:2
Oct 28, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Rotonda vs Santa Maria Cilento
1:2
Feb 24, 2021 Serie D - Group I
Rotonda vs Santa Maria Cilento
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Serie D - Group I
Santa Maria Cilento vs Rotonda
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Maria Cilento Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Rotonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardore A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cajazzo I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria Cilento 19 / 100
Rotonda 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria Cilento Rotonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rotonda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotonda has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Rotonda's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santa Maria Cilento scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria Cilento VS Rotonda
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria Cilento

(Home)
05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3
A.C.D. Nardo
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0
Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3
Santa Maria Cilento
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3
Martina Calcio
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0
Santa Maria Cilento
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Rotonda

(Away)
05 May
Palmese 1914
1 : 0
Rotonda
28 Apr
Rotonda
2 : 1
Fidelis Andria
21 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Rotonda
14 Apr
Manfredonia
0 : 0
Rotonda
07 Apr
Rotonda
0 : 1
Gelbison
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altamura 34 21 9 4 51:23 72
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 12 4 51:23 66
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 20 5 9 53:24 65
4 Fidelis Andria 34 17 10 7 58:32 61
5 Casarano 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Matera 34 15 8 11 45:37 53
7 Paganese 34 12 9 13 42:43 45
8 Palmese 1914 34 13 7 14 45:52 45
9 Gelbison 34 11 10 13 41:37 43
10 Rotonda 34 11 9 14 36:36 42
11 Gravina 34 10 11 13 49:44 41
12 Manfredonia 34 9 15 10 28:38 41
13 Citta di Fasano 34 11 8 15 38:57 41
14 Angri 34 10 9 15 35:52 39
15 Gallipoli 34 8 9 17 27:49 33
16 Barletta 34 6 12 16 30:45 30
17 Bitonto 34 7 9 18 22:45 30
18 Santa Maria Cilento 34 5 10 19 22:55 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 (Play Out)