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Santa Maria FC vs Cerveira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santa Maria FC
40%
Draws
29%
Cerveira
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Maria FC lately — more wins on the board than Cerveira.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 20%
Cerveira Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Cerveira
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Santa Maria FC
2:2
Mar 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Cerveira
2:2
Dec 28, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Cerveira
0:1
Oct 12, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Santa Maria FC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 32 / 100
Cerveira 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Cerveira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria FC scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Cerveira conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Cerveira's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria FC VS Cerveira
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria FC

(Home)
22 Oct
Penafiel
3 : 0
Santa Maria FC
24 Sept
SC Salgueiros
0 : 1
Santa Maria FC
24 May
SC Vianense
2 : 0
Santa Maria FC
17 May
Santa Maria FC
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
10 May
Cerveira
2 : 2
Santa Maria FC
Page 1 of 6

Cerveira

(Away)
11 Apr
Pedras Salgadas
2 : 2
Cerveira
03 Apr
Cerveira
0 : 1
Vidago
14 Mar
Braga B
0 : 0
Cerveira
06 Mar
Cerveira
1 : 2
SC Vianense
28 Feb
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Cerveira
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1482428:1541
2GD Braganca1473419:1837
3SC Vianense1465320:1634
4Pedras Salgadas1454515:1632
5AD Limianos1455422:2027
6Cerveira1434718:2625
7Santa Maria FC1435621:2024
8Vieira1434713:2518
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2014/2015 (Play Out)