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Santa Maria U20 vs Brazlandia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria U20 play Brazlandia U20 in the Brasiliense U20 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Maria U20 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Brazlandia U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Maria U20 won 1, Brazlandia U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 18, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Santa Maria U20 and 1.88 for Brazlandia U20. This points to a Santa Maria U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Santa Maria U20
19%
Draws
31%
Brazlandia U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Santa Maria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Santa Maria U20 picked up more points recently compared to Brazlandia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Brazlandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria U20 Brazlandia U20
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Brazlandia U20 vs Santa Maria U20
2:0
Jun 26, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Brazlandia U20
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria U20 47 / 100
Brazlandia U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria U20 Brazlandia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Santa Maria U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Maria U20 attacking → ← attacking Brazlandia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria U20 scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Brazlandia U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Santa Maria U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Brazlandia U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25