Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Maria U20 vs Ceilandia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Brasiliense U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Maria U20
6%
Draws
4%
Ceilandia U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Maria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Maria U20 lately — more wins on the board than Ceilandia U20.
  • Santa Maria U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ceilandia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria U20 Ceilandia U20
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Ceilandia U20
2:2
Jun 21, 2025 Brasiliense U20
Ceilandia U20 vs Santa Maria U20
0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria U20 83 / 100
Ceilandia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria U20 Ceilandia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ceilandia U20 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Maria U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria U20 VS Ceilandia U20
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasiliense U20871036:222
2Capital DF U20861134:919
3Legiao U20861116:719
4Sobradinho U20851229:516
5Samambaia U20843116:615
6Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20830512:219
7Gama U20822419:168
8Brazlandia U20821512:187
9Candango U2092167:307
10Samambaense U2092075:386
11ARUC U2080173:371
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canaa U20880041:524
2Real Brasilia U20870135:521
3Planaltina U20861123:719
4Santa Maria U20841318:1613
5Brasilia U20933319:1712
6Gremio Valparaiso U20840416:1812
7Ceilandia U20821518:337
8Paranoa U20921611:287
9Ceilandense U2081345:166
10Cruzeiro DF U2081259:235
11Luziania U2080265:322