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Santa Maria U20 vs Samambaense U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 2023 game between Santa Maria U20 and Samambaense U20 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Maria U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Santa Maria U20
15%
Draws
0%
Samambaense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Maria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Maria U20 come out ahead of Samambaense U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Maria U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Samambaense U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria U20 Samambaense U20
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.73 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.82 4.59
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Samambaense U20
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Samambaense U20 vs Santa Maria U20
5:2
Jul 9, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Samambaense U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria U20 85 / 100
Samambaense U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria U20 Samambaense U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Maria U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samambaense U20 let in goals in 94% of their last 34 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Samambaense U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Santa Maria U20 scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria U20 VS Samambaense U20
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Brasiliense U20
5 : 0
Santa Maria U20
02 Aug
Santa Maria U20
1 : 7
Brasiliense U20
26 Jul
Santa Maria U20
6 : 0
Luziania U20
18 Jul
Cruzeiro DF U20
2 : 2
Santa Maria U20
12 Jul
Santa Maria U20
3 : 1
Ceilandense U20
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Samambaense U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaense U20
0 : 4
Gama U20
05 Jul
Brazlandia U20
3 : 0
Samambaense U20
27 Jun
Samambaense U20
2 : 4
Legiao U20
23 Jun
Capital DF U20
6 : 0
Samambaense U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)