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Santa Maria vs Gama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Nunes
(Penalty)
39' Event
Gui Mendes
77' Event
Adenilson

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2024 game between Santa Maria and Gama finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Santa Maria
20%
Draws
80%
Gama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Gama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gama's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 14%
Gama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria Gama
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 22
Draws 4 7
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 0.9 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.23 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:5
Feb 15, 2023 Brasiliense
Gama vs Santa Maria
1:0
Feb 10, 2022 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
2:2
Apr 3, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:0
Feb 9, 2019 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Gama
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Maria Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gama Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Mendes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adenilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria 10 / 100
Gama 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria Gama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Santa Maria found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Gama let in goals in 55% of their last 33 matches.

Gama lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gama
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria

(Home)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
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Gama

(Away)
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
Gama
4 : 0
EC Sao Jose (PA)
08 Aug
EC Sao Jose (PA)
1 : 1
Gama
26 Jul
Gama
4 : 2
America RN
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 9 7 1 1 24:3 22
2 Ceilandia 9 6 2 1 20:8 20
3 Gama 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
4 Brasiliense 9 6 1 2 15:6 19
5 Paranoa 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
6 Real Brasilia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
7 Samambaia 9 2 1 6 8:13 7
8 Ceilandense 9 2 1 6 9:19 7
9 Planaltina 9 1 1 7 5:19 4
10 Santa Maria 9 1 0 8 3:28 3
Promotion - Brasiliense 2024 (Play Offs)