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Santa Maria vs Onze Unidos

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2009 game between Santa Maria and Onze Unidos finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Onze Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santa Maria
28%
Draws
50%
Onze Unidos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Onze Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Onze Unidos come out ahead of Santa Maria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Onze Unidos's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%
Onze Unidos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria Onze Unidos
Matches Played 5 21
Wins 0 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 0.67 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.67 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2009 Campeonato Nacional
Santa Maria vs Onze Unidos
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria 22 / 100
Onze Unidos 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria Onze Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).

Onze Unidos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Santa Maria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria VS Onze Unidos
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academica Praia541010:513
2Mindelense540113:412
3Ultramarina521211:67
4Onze Unidos52125:57
5Santa Maria50236:132
6Foguetoes50143:151
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sporting Praia541011:113
2SC do Porto Novo53029:69
3Vulcanico52123:47
4Morabeza52124:87
5Estrela dos Amadores52037:86
6Academica Boavista50142:91