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Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tirsense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tirsense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
28%
Draws
50%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tirsense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tirsense have won more games recently than Santa Marta Penaguiao.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tirsense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 22%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Penaguiao Tirsense
Matches Played 27 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 6 15
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Tirsense vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
1:1
Nov 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Tirsense
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 24 / 100
Tirsense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Penaguiao Tirsense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Santa Marta Penaguiao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Santa Marta Penaguiao scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Tirsense let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tirsense
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276