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Santa Marta Tormes vs Colegios Diocesanos Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8
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Match Events

26' Event
Hernandez I.
80' Event
Martin D.
90' Event
Martin D.

AI Match Summary

Santa Marta Tormes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Marta Tormes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Santa Marta Tormes
15%
Draws
7%
Colegios Diocesanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Marta Tormes lately — more wins on the board than Colegios Diocesanos.
  • Win probability leans Santa Marta Tormes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 20%
Colegios Diocesanos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Tormes Colegios Diocesanos
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.6 0.9
Goals Conceded 1 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Colegios Diocesanos
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:0
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Colegios Diocesanos vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:2
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Colegios Diocesanos
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Marta Tormes Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Colegios Diocesanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Tormes 85 / 100
Colegios Diocesanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Tormes Colegios Diocesanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Marta Tormes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Marta Tormes found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Defensive concern: Colegios Diocesanos conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Santa Marta Tormes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Colegios Diocesanos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Marta Tormes VS Colegios Diocesanos
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.86
88% Over 1.5 86%
38% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Marta Tormes

(Home)
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
Page 1 of 7

Colegios Diocesanos

(Away)
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
12 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
0 : 3
Burgos CF B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
2 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Leonesa B 4 3 1 0 4:0 10
4 La Virgen 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
5 Santa Marta Tormes 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
6 Arandina 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Bembibre 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
8 Palencia CA 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
9 Almazan 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
10 Palencia CF 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Calasanz de Soria 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
12 Villaralbo 4 1 1 2 7:5 4
13 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
14 Unionistas de Salamanca B 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Turegano 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
16 Mirandes B 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
17 Salamanca CF UDS B 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)