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Santa Rita vs Serrano PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Thu, Sep 24, 2026
VS
10:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Rita host Serrano PB in the Paraibano 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Serrano PB have shipped 2.63 goals a game lately, while Santa Rita have conceded 1.89 and scored 0.89. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (2.04 - 1.19) back Santa Rita to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santa Rita
20%
Draws
50%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Serrano PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Rita come out ahead of Serrano PB on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Serrano PB's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 20%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Serrano PB
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 10 / 100
Serrano PB 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Serrano PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serrano PB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serrano PB conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Santa Rita's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Santa Rita has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Serrano PB's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rita VS Serrano PB
0 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
13 Sept
Santa Rita
0 : 6
Desportiva Guarabira
27 May
Itabaiana
2 : 1
Santa Rita
20 May
Santa Rita
0 : 5
Treze PB
13 May
Santa Rita
3 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista
07 May
Vitoria da Conquista
1 : 0
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 6

Serrano PB

(Away)
12 Sept
Serrano PB
1 : 1
Cruzeiro-PB
21 Sept
Serrano PB
5 : 1
Spartax
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
15 Sept
Miramar EC
2 : 0
Serrano PB
11 Sept
Serrano PB
3 : 3
Atletico Cajazeirense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Guarabira 1 1 0 0 6:0 3
2 Auto Esporte 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Spartax 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Serrano PB 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Cruzeiro-PB 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Sao Paulo Crystal 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Sport PB 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Femar 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Picuiense 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Santa Rita 1 0 0 1 0:6 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)