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Santa Rita vs Spartax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Thu, Oct 22, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 6-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Santa Rita have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Spartax's 1.61 scored and 1.82 conceded. Head-to-head, Santa Rita have won 1 to Spartax's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.19) point toward Santa Rita. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Santa Rita
15%
Draws
27%
Spartax
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita have won more games recently than Spartax.
  • Model gives Santa Rita a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Santa Rita have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Rita, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 20%
Spartax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Spartax
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Paraibano 2
Santa Rita vs Spartax
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 85 / 100
Spartax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Spartax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santa Rita stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santa Rita found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Spartax conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rita VS Spartax
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
11 Oct
Santa Rita
6 : 1
Spartax
07 Oct
Femar
0 : 3
Santa Rita
03 Oct
Picuiense
0 : 6
Santa Rita
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Santa Rita
3 : 0
Sport PB
Page 1 of 6

Spartax

(Away)
15 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 3
Spartax
11 Oct
Santa Rita
6 : 1
Spartax
08 Oct
Spartax
1 : 2
Cruzeiro-PB
05 Oct
Desportiva Guarabira
0 : 1
Spartax
01 Oct
Spartax
1 : 1
Sport PB
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Auto Esporte -
TBD -
Cruzeiro-PB 3
Serrano PB 2
Santa Rita -
TBD -
Desportiva Guarabira 0
Spartax 3
Semi-finals
Auto Esporte -
Cruzeiro-PB -
Santa Rita -
Spartax -
Final
TBD -
TBD -