Sport Picks
Santa Rosa vs Independente Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Paraense 2025 
Match Events
6'
6'
da Silva Filho W.
63'
63'
Xandinho
82'
82'
Macedo D.
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Santa Rosa and Independente finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Rosa have managed 0.57 goals a game lately — Independente are scoring more at 1.1.
- Model gives Independente a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 20%
Independente Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Rosa | Independente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.57 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2025 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Independente
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Rosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Macedo D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Independente Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva Filho W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Xandinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Rosa 20 / 100
Independente 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Rosa Independente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Independente conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Santa Rosa scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Santa Rosa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Rosa VS Independente
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Rosa
(Home) 22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0 Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0 Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2 Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2 Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Bragantino PA
Page 1 of 6
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2 Paysandu PA
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Bragantino PA
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
02 Mar
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 1 Castanhal
Page 1 of 3
Independente
(Away) 07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0 Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0 Independente
30 May
Independente
3 : 0 Uniao Paraense
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2 Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1 Independente
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0 Independente
13 May
Izabelense
1 : 2 Independente
09 May
Uniao Paraense
1 : 1 Independente
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
0 : 0 Independente
17 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Independente
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
