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Santa Rosa vs Puntarenas FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Tabash R.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 game between Santa Rosa and Puntarenas FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Puntarenas FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Santa Rosa
20%
Draws
73%
Puntarenas FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puntarenas FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Puntarenas FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Puntarenas FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Puntarenas FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 21%
Puntarenas FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rosa Puntarenas FC
Matches Played 26 36
Wins 1 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.88 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Puntarenas FC vs Santa Rosa
2:0
Feb 7, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs Puntarenas FC
0:1
Nov 1, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Rosa vs Puntarenas FC
0:1
Sep 26, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Puntarenas FC vs Santa Rosa
2:1
Mar 29, 2020 Liga de Ascenso
Puntarenas FC vs Santa Rosa
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rosa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Puntarenas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabash R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rosa 24 / 100
Puntarenas FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rosa Puntarenas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puntarenas FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rosa's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Puntarenas FC conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Santa Rosa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Puntarenas FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rosa

(Home)
28 Mar
Santa Rosa
1 : 2
Guanacasteca
21 Mar
Puntarenas FC
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
13 Mar
Jaco FC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
07 Mar
Santa Rosa
0 : 1
Limon Black Star
27 Feb
Liberia
2 : 1
Santa Rosa
Page 1 of 6

Puntarenas FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Escorpiones
12 Sept
Inter San Carlos
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puntarenas FC 10 6 1 3 11:8 19
2 Guanacasteca 10 4 5 1 11:5 17
3 Liberia 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
4 Jaco FC 10 4 3 3 17:15 15
5 Limon Black Star 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
6 Santa Rosa 10 0 3 7 7:17 3
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carmelita 10 7 0 3 22:16 21
2 Municipal San Ramon 10 5 2 3 12:10 17
3 Cofutpa 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
4 San Jose FC 10 4 2 4 21:16 14
5 Santa Ana 9 2 2 5 7:15 8
6 Cariari Pococi 9 2 1 6 13:19 7
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Sarchi 10 8 2 0 29:14 26
2 FC Moravia 10 5 3 2 18:10 18
3 Municipal Turrialba 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
4 Puerto Golfito FC 10 3 2 5 20:21 11
5 Aserri 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
6 CS Uruguay 10 2 0 8 8:20 6
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2020/2021 (Clausura - Play Offs)