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Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango Prediction & H2H Stats

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Vasquez Guillen L. E.
12' Event
Menjivar L.
19' Event
Perez J. J.

AI Match Summary

Chalatenango in this Primera Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chalatenango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Santa Tecla
20%
Draws
64%
Chalatenango
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chalatenango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chalatenango have won more games recently than Santa Tecla.
  • Model gives Chalatenango a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 24%
Chalatenango Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Chalatenango
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango
2:3
Feb 1, 2023 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Santa Tecla
2:1
Sep 3, 2022 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango
0:0
Jul 10, 2022 Primera Division
Chalatenango vs Santa Tecla
0:0
May 1, 2022 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ocon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Chalatenango Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Guillen L. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Menjivar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 21 / 100
Chalatenango 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Chalatenango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chalatenango Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chalatenango has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Santa Tecla scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chalatenango's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Tecla VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

Chalatenango

(Away)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Chalatenango
1 : 2
Jocoro
30 Apr
Chalatenango
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
26 Apr
Aguila
2 : 1
Chalatenango
23 Apr
Chalatenango
2 : 3
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)