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Santa Tecla vs Dragon

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Roque A.
45'
Rodriguez Arias N. A.
64'
Roque A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Santa Tecla and Dragon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Tecla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Santa Tecla
20%
Draws
64%
Dragon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Dragon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santa Tecla's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 68%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Dragon
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
3:1
Jan 24, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Santa Tecla
2:1
Nov 11, 2023 Primera Division
Dragon vs Santa Tecla
4:0
Sep 16, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
0:2
Apr 27, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Dragon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Roque A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mancia Bonilla E. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerra S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 50 / 100
Dragon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Dragon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Tecla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Tecla's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dragon let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dragon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dragon
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Dragon

(Away)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)