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Santacruzense vs Assisense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Santacruzense Logo

Santacruzense

2 - 2
FT
Assisense Logo

Assisense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between Santacruzense and Assisense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santacruzense
35%
Draws
32%
Assisense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Santacruzense haven't matched Assisense's recent run of results.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 15%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santacruzense Assisense
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Santacruzense
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Assisense
2:0
Jun 25, 2022 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Assisense
1:3
May 22, 2022 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Santacruzense
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Assisense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santacruzense 31 / 100
Assisense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santacruzense Assisense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assisense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Santacruzense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santacruzense found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Santacruzense VS Assisense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santacruzense

(Home)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 7

Assisense

(Away)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 12 7 4 1 20:8 25
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 2 5 12:15 17
4 Tupa 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
5 Osvaldo Cruz 12 4 3 5 12:11 15
6 Bandeirante 12 3 2 7 9:17 11
7 America SP 12 2 2 8 7:15 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 12 7 3 2 29:13 24
2 Catanduva FC 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
3 Matonense 12 5 3 4 20:14 18
4 Catanduvense 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
6 Taquaritinga 12 4 3 5 17:19 15
7 Sao-Carlense 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 12 7 3 2 15:8 24
2 XV de Jau 12 7 3 2 22:9 24
3 Itapirense 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
4 Independente SP 12 6 1 5 21:11 19
5 Uniao Barbarense 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
7 Brasilis 12 1 3 8 5:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 AA Itarare 10 5 4 1 16:3 19
3 Assisense 10 4 4 2 11:6 16
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 9:7 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
6 Elosport 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 12 9 2 1 31:10 29
2 Sao Jose EC 12 6 5 1 22:13 23
3 Amparo SP 12 5 6 1 31:14 21
4 Jacarei FC 12 4 5 3 22:14 17
5 Uniao Mogi 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Manthiqueira 12 2 3 7 7:20 9
7 Atletico Mogi 12 0 1 11 8:45 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 12 7 2 3 20:12 23
2 Uniao Suzano 12 6 4 2 20:16 22
3 Guarulhos 12 6 3 3 15:8 21
4 Mauaense 12 5 5 2 16:8 20
5 Maua FC 12 4 4 4 10:13 16
6 Barcelona SP 12 2 4 6 11:18 10
7 Jabaquara 12 0 2 10 8:25 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)