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Santacruzense vs Assisense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between Santacruzense and Assisense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santacruzense
39%
Draws
30%
Assisense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santacruzense haven't matched Assisense's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 15%
Assisense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santacruzense Assisense
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 Paulista B
Assisense vs Santacruzense
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Assisense
2:0
Jun 25, 2022 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Assisense
1:3
May 22, 2022 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Santacruzense
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Assisense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santacruzense 31 / 100
Assisense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santacruzense Assisense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense let in goals in 82% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Santacruzense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Santacruzense found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Santacruzense VS Assisense
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santacruzense

(Home)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
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Assisense

(Away)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fernandopolis1274120:825
2Andradina Esporte Clube1273216:924
3Jose Bonifacio EC1252512:1517
4Tupa1252515:1617
5Osvaldo Cruz1243512:1115
6Bandeirante123279:1711
7America SP122287:158
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Francana1273229:1324
2Catanduva FC1255219:1320
3Matonense1253420:1418
4Catanduvense1252514:1417
5Inter de Bebedouro1245317:1417
6Taquaritinga1243517:1915
7Sao-Carlense1211107:364
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rio Branco SP1273215:824
2XV de Jau1273222:924
3Itapirense1263317:1321
4Independente SP1261521:1119
5Uniao Barbarense1242618:2314
6Jaguariuna1223714:239
7Brasilis121385:256
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marilia1063121:721
2AA Itarare1054116:319
3Assisense1044211:616
4Vocem103439:713
5Santacruzense1025314:1411
6Elosport1000103:370
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paulista1292131:1029
2Sao Jose EC1265122:1323
3Amparo SP1256131:1421
4Jacarei FC1245322:1417
5Uniao Mogi1242618:2314
6Manthiqueira122377:209
7Atletico Mogi1201118:451
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1272320:1223
2Uniao Suzano1264220:1622
3Guarulhos1263315:821
4Mauaense1255216:820
5Maua FC1244410:1316
6Barcelona SP1224611:1810
7Jabaquara1202108:252
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)