Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Wallace C.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Santacruzense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santacruzense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mogi Mirim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santacruzense have won more games recently than Mogi Mirim.
- Mogi Mirim are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 16%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santacruzense | Mogi Mirim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 13, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Santacruzense
1:0
May 10, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Mogi Mirim
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santacruzense 19 / 100
Mogi Mirim 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santacruzense Mogi Mirim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mogi Mirim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mogi Mirim let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Santacruzense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Santacruzense found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (35 games).
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Santacruzense VS Mogi Mirim
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Santacruzense
(Home) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
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28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
31 May
Santacruzense
1 : 2 Matonense
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
03 May
Santacruzense
2 : 5 Independente SP
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Mogi Mirim
(Away) 20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
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20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
18 Apr
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Mogi Mirim
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
