Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santacruzense vs Sao Carlos

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
da Conceicao Honorato E.
90' Event
Silva K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Santacruzense
33%
Draws
40%
Sao Carlos
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sao Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Carlos lately — more wins on the board than Santacruzense.
  • Win probability leans Sao Carlos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 12%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santacruzense Sao Carlos
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 9 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs Sao Carlos
1:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
1:1
Feb 19, 2014 Paulista A3
Santacruzense vs Sao Carlos
0:1
Mar 9, 2013 Paulista A2
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
2:1
Mar 10, 2012 Paulista A2
Sao Carlos vs Santacruzense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santacruzense Compare

Top Goalscorer da Conceicao Honorato E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Sao Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santacruzense 27 / 100
Sao Carlos 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santacruzense Sao Carlos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Carlos let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Santacruzense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Santacruzense's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santacruzense VS Sao Carlos
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jose Bonifacio EC1064017:622
2America SP1054113:719
3Assisense1035217:1514
4Tupa1041514:1613
5Riopretano101459:167
6Santa Fe SP1020810:206
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independente SP1080237:724
2Matonense1071228:1022
3Sao Carlos1043319:1115
4Santacruzense1042419:1314
5Mogi Mirim1040615:1512
6Catanduvense1000104:660
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP1072113:623
2Paulinense105059:1615
3Audax-SP1051415:913
4Paulinia FU1031611:1410
5Votoraty SP1021712:197
6Guarulhos1051419:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Itaqua1081121:625
2Maua FC1044220:1516
3Uniao Mogi1052314:1314
4Manthiqueira1042417:1714
5Mauaense1033410:1012
6Barcelona SP1000105:260