Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin

Match Events

28'

69'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santamarina host Alvarado in the Torneo Federal. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Santamarina at 0.38 goals for, 1 against; Alvarado at 1.38 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Alvarado slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward Alvarado. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Santamarina

Draws

90%

Alvarado

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alvarado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Alvarado has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Santamarina.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Alvarado.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19%

Santamarina Clean Sheet 20%

Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santamarina	Alvarado
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	6	9
Draws	11	13
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	0.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Alvarado

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

May 10, 2026 Torneo Federal

Alvarado vs Santamarina

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 0 - 0

3:0

Apr 16, 2022 Primera Nacional

Alvarado vs Santamarina

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Feb 16, 2014 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Alvarado

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Oct 4, 2013 Torneo Federal

Alvarado vs Santamarina

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 10 / 100

Alvarado 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santamarina Alvarado

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santamarina scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Alvarado let in goals in 34% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Santamarina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Alvarado lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Alvarado

0.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.5

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	16	7	7	2	19:7	28
2	Douglas Haig	16	8	4	4	19:12	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	16	7	4	5	15:10	25
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	16	5	7	4	11:12	22
7	Independiente Chivilcoy	16	4	6	6	13:19	18
8	Atletico Escobar	16	5	3	8	17:26	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	16	4	4	8	12:17	16
10	El Linqueno	16	3	4	9	11:20	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	14	8	3	3	24:17	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	14	6	5	3	12:6	23
3	Sol de America	14	7	2	5	15:10	23
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	14	6	3	5	14:14	21
5	Juventud Antoniana	14	5	4	5	13:10	19
6	Defensores de Vilelas	15	6	1	8	21:25	19
7	Boca Unidos	14	5	3	6	17:19	18
8	Tucuman Central	14	5	1	8	12:15	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	15	6	4	5	18:15	22
2	Argentino MM	14	5	6	3	15:11	21
3	Biblioteca Atenas	14	6	3	5	12:13	21
4	Fundacion Amigos	14	4	7	3	17:14	19
5	Huracan Las Heras	14	5	4	5	10:13	19
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	14	4	5	5	10:14	17
8	Juventud U.U.	14	3	7	4	10:9	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	14	4	4	6	12:15	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alvarado	15	7	5	3	19:7	26
2	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
3	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	14	6	7	1	10:4	25
4	Villa Mitre	14	4	7	3	8:5	19
5	Germinal	14	4	6	4	7:11	18
6	Sol de Mayo	14	4	5	5	11:12	17
7	Guillermo Brown	14	3	5	6	11:17	14
8	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	9:15	12
9	Circulo Deportivo	14	1	6	7	4:14	9