Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil

Santamarina

4 - 0

Circulo Deportivo

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Ijurco M.

24'

Dominguez L.

27'

Martinez J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santamarina in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santamarina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Santamarina

40%

Draws

29%

Circulo Deportivo

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Santamarina average 0.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Circulo Deportivo's 0.25.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 18%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Santamarina Clean Sheet 20%

Circulo Deportivo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santamarina	Circulo Deportivo
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	6
Draws	12	12
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	0.38	0.25
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal

Circulo Deportivo vs Santamarina

0:0

Apr 11, 2026 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo

4:0

Jul 26, 2025 Torneo Federal

Circulo Deportivo vs Santamarina

1:0

May 24, 2025 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Circulo Deportivo

2:0

Mar 19, 2025 Torneo Federal

Circulo Deportivo vs Santamarina

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santamarina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ijurco M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Franco N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Circulo Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 32 / 100

Circulo Deportivo 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santamarina Circulo Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Circulo Deportivo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Santamarina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Santamarina's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Circulo Deportivo

0.38 Goals Scored 0.25

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5

50% Over 1.5 25%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santamarina

(Home)

11 Jul

Santamarina

0 : 0

Alvarado

28 Jun

Germinal

1 : 0

Santamarina

20 Jun

Santamarina

0 : 2

Villa Mitre

14 Jun

Circulo Deportivo

0 : 0

Santamarina

07 Jun

Santamarina

1 : 0

Kimberley

Page 1 of 6

Circulo Deportivo

(Away)

24 Jul

Kimberley

1 : 1

Circulo Deportivo

12 Jul

Circulo Deportivo

3 : 1

Sol de Mayo

05 Jul

Guillermo Brown

1 : 0

Circulo Deportivo

28 Jun

Circulo Deportivo

1 : 1

Olimpo Bahia Blanca

20 Jun

Alvarado

1 : 0

Circulo Deportivo

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	21:9	30
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	21:29	22
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	16	6	8	2	15:9	26
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	8:16	13

Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)

Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)