Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santana EC vs Portuguesa AP Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ferreira T. d. O.
90' Event
Junior
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Amapaense 2025 game between Santana EC and Portuguesa AP finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portuguesa AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Santana EC
15%
Draws
39%
Portuguesa AP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Portuguesa AP haven't matched Santana EC's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Santana EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%
Portuguesa AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santana EC Portuguesa AP
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.56 1.4
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Portuguesa AP
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santana EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Portuguesa AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira T. d. O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana EC 34 / 100
Portuguesa AP 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santana EC Portuguesa AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santana EC's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Portuguesa AP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santana EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santana EC VS Portuguesa AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santana EC

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
Page 1 of 7

Portuguesa AP

(Away)
26 Jun
Portuguesa AP
0 : 2
Rio Norte
20 Jun
Portuguesa AP
1 : 0
Cruzeiro AP
15 Jun
Rio Norte
0 : 0
Portuguesa AP
05 Jun
Portuguesa AP
5 : 1
Canario
31 May
Mazagao
1 : 5
Portuguesa AP
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)