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Santana EC vs SAO Jose

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SAO Jose in this Campeonato Amapaense 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SAO Jose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Santana EC
20%
Draws
24%
SAO Jose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SAO Jose lately — more wins on the board than Santana EC.
  • Win probability leans Santana EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santana EC SAO Jose
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.17
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2015 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:2
Jul 27, 2013 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:1
Jun 28, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santana EC
1:1
Jun 2, 2012 Amapaense
Santana EC vs SAO Jose
1:2
Jun 25, 2011 Amapaense
Santana EC vs SAO Jose
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana EC 83 / 100
SAO Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santana EC SAO Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SAO Jose conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Santana EC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santana EC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santana EC VS SAO Jose
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santana EC

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
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SAO Jose

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
2 Ypiranga AP 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Cristal AP 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
4 Trem 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
5 Santana EC 5 0 1 4 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oratorio 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
2 Mazagao 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 SAO Jose 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
4 Independente AP 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
5 Sao Paulo AP 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (First stage - Play Offs)