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Santana EC vs Ypiranga AP - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amapaense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Queiroz De Oliveira H.
31' Event
Pereira L.
50' Event
Pereira L.

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga AP in this Amapaense 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ypiranga AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Santana EC
15%
Draws
31%
Ypiranga AP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santana EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ypiranga AP have won more games recently than Santana EC.
  • Model gives Santana EC a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santana EC Clean Sheet 10%
Ypiranga AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santana EC Ypiranga AP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2025 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Ypiranga AP
1:6
Feb 7, 2024 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Ypiranga AP
1:1
Jun 2, 2023 Amapaense
Ypiranga AP vs Santana EC
5:1
Jun 3, 2022 Amapaense
Santana EC vs Ypiranga AP
4:0
Aug 25, 2021 Amapaense
Ypiranga AP vs Santana EC
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santana EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Queiroz De Oliveira H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ypiranga AP Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baianinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana EC 83 / 100
Ypiranga AP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santana EC Ypiranga AP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santana EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Santana EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Ypiranga AP has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Santana EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santana EC VS Ypiranga AP
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santana EC

(Home)
13 Jun
Mazagao
1 : 3
Santana EC
07 Jun
Santana EC
1 : 6
Rio Norte
28 May
Bare AP
1 : 2
Santana EC
19 May
Santana EC
3 : 0
Canario
11 May
ADEC
0 : 3
Santana EC
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Ypiranga AP

(Away)
16 Mar
Trem
5 : 0
Ypiranga AP
13 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 1
Ypiranga AP
10 Mar
Cristal AP
0 : 2
Ypiranga AP
07 Mar
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
SAO Jose
01 Mar
Macapa
0 : 1
Ypiranga AP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
2 Oratorio 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 Independente AP 7 4 2 1 11:5 14
4 Santos AP 7 3 0 4 9:9 9
5 Cristal AP 7 3 2 2 13:7 8
6 Ypiranga AP 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Portuguesa AP 7 1 2 4 5:9 5
8 Santana EC 7 0 0 7 4:30 0
Promotion - Amapaense 2025 (Play Offs)