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Santana vs Porto da Cruz

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 game between Santana and Porto da Cruz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santana
20%
Draws
38%
Porto da Cruz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Porto da Cruz haven't matched Santana's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santana's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Santana Clean Sheet 20%
Porto da Cruz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santana Porto da Cruz
Matches Played 12 4
Wins 5 0
Draws 1 0
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Santana vs Porto da Cruz
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana 42 / 100
Porto da Cruz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santana Porto da Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porto da Cruz conceded in 100% of 4 recent games.

Away concern: Porto da Cruz has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Santana's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santana VS Porto da Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chaves3
Leca0
Coimbroes2
Uniao Da Serra3
Academica2
Portimonense1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Beira Mar4
Nacional2
Varzim1
Vila Mea0
Fatima3
Tirsense1
Oliv. Bairro0
Aljustrelense1
Pacos Ferreira3
Pinhalnovense1
Sintrense0
Operario1
Oeiras6
Vigor Mocidade4
Cruzado Canicense1
Paredes1
Camacha3
Aliados Lordelo2
Machico0
Casa Pia1
Leixoes2
Gil Vicente6
Nelas1
Padroense0
Naval1
Rio Ave2
Esmoriz1
Maritimo1
Santa Clara2
Benfica6
Monsanto0
Feirense1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Freamunde3
Carregado0
Merelinense1
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal2
Atletico CP0
Covilha0
Braga1
Sporting CP3
Penafiel0
Cinfaes1
Pescadores Caparica2
U. Madeira2
Alcains0
Vieira0
Mafra1
BSAD3
Oriental1
Olhanense1
Valenciano2
Oliveirense2
Tondela1
Sertanense0
FC Porto4
1/16-finals
Chaves2
Uniao Da Serra0
Academica1
Beira Mar2
Nacional1
Fatima0
Tirsense0
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense2
Oeiras1
Vigor Mocidade0
Camacha1
Aliados Lordelo1
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Santa Clara0
Benfica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Freamunde3
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal0
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Pescadores Caparica1
U. Madeira1
Mafra2
BSAD1
Valenciano0
Oliveirense0
FC Porto2
1/8-finals
Chaves1
Beira Mar0
Nacional1
Pacos Ferreira2
Pinhalnovense1
Camacha0
Aliados Lordelo0
Naval1
Rio Ave3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Freamunde1
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Mafra3
BSAD2
FC Porto3
Quarter-finals
Chaves2
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Braga0
Sporting CP2
FC Porto5
Semi-finals
Chaves3
Naval1
Rio Ave1
FC Porto7
Final
Chaves1
FC Porto2