Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Rao E.
90'
90'
Ganz S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sant'Angelo and Piacenza finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piacenza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Piacenza come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Piacenza here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 18%
Piacenza Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | Piacenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Piacenza
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Piacenza vs Sant'Angelo
2:0
Dec 4, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie D
Sant'Angelo vs Piacenza
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rao E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Piacenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Ganz S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sant'Angelo 32 / 100
Piacenza 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sant'Angelo Piacenza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Piacenza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sant'Angelo scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Piacenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Sant'Angelo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sant'Angelo VS Piacenza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sant'Angelo
(Home) 27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Piacenza
29 Mar
Sant'Angelo
1 : 3 Pistoiese
Page 1 of 3
Piacenza
(Away) 20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1 Piacenza
13 Sept
Piacenza
0 : 1 Virtus Verona
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2 Piacenza
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1 Piacenza
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2 Piacenza
17 May
Lentigione
0 : 2 Piacenza
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
26 Apr
Tropical Coriano
1 : 0 Piacenza
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
