Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sant'Angelo vs Tropical Coriano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Dalcerri T.
84' Event
Di Bitonto C.
90' Event
Pacchioni G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sant'Angelo and Tropical Coriano finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sant'Angelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sant'Angelo
30%
Draws
23%
Tropical Coriano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sant'Angelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sant'Angelo come out ahead of Tropical Coriano on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 68%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Tropical Coriano
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Tropical Coriano
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Sant'Angelo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sant'Angelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalcerri T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Bitonto C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 41 / 100
Tropical Coriano 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Tropical Coriano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tropical Coriano conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Sant'Angelo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Tropical Coriano
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
Varesina
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3
Sant'Angelo
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Tropical Coriano

(Away)
20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2
Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)